Market Risks
- Competitors may gain market share because of acquisitions, the acceptance of new development models such as enterprise service-oriented architecture (enterprise SOA), and the popularity of new delivery models, such as “software as a service” (SaaS). In this context, large corporations such as IBM and Microsoft expand into our core market and compete with us more directly via enterprise SOA. Additionally, emerging SaaS vendors such as Salesforce.com are entering our market. Successful integration of acquired assets by consolidators such as Oracle and Infor may erode SAP’s integrated suite value proposition. SOA may encourage a shift in buying patterns, encouraging increased custom application development to the advantage of tool vendors. Simple Webbased consumption models may encourage increased spending on SaaS to SAP’s disadvantage. This could have a material adverse effect on us in a variety of ways, such as reducing sales due to customer uncertainty and subjecting us to competition from stronger, established companies or new peer-group companies. Additionally, traditional and non-traditional competitors are competing for finite partner wallet share that may make ecosystem revenue targets difficult to achieve. We believe that our strategy of organic growth, fill-in acquisitions, and a competitive SaaS midmarket offering remains valid for this environment. Therefore, we consider it unlikely now that our expected results will be greatly harmed by our direct competitors’ winning significant segment share from us. Rather, we see the current wave of consolidation in the IT sector as an opportunity to strengthen our position. However, we cannot rule out that competitors may offer more extreme discounts to customers, thus significantly limiting our profits.
- The continuing trend toward business process outsourcing (BPO) could result in increased competition through the entry of systems integrators, consulting firms, telecommunications companies, computer hardware vendors, and other IT services providers. The perception of value created by SAP’s products among customers could be diminished to the extent that outsourcing providers bundle SAP applications with their services or provide such services using non-SAP applications. While most of our revenue is currently derived from license contracts concluded directly with customers, an increased trend toward outsourcing business processes to external providers could have an adverse impact on our revenue and results. In addition, the distribution of applications through application service providers (ASP) or other SaaS models may reduce the price paid for SAP products or adversely affect other sales of SAP products. We are actively countering these risks with our increasingly successful structured BPO partner program and our own on-demand business models and product ranges. In light of these measures, we still consider the risk of significant impairment to our revenue and results from competing BPO providers and SaaS models as unlikely for the foreseeable future.
- Our large installed customer base has traditionally generated a large portion of our revenue. Declining customer satisfaction may lead to their decisions not to renew their maintenance agreements, not to license additional products, or not to contract for additional services, or to reduce the scope of their maintenance agreements. This could have a significant adverse effect on our revenue. We consider this unlikely due to the solid growth of business with our installed base in the past years and our forward-looking technological strategy, which has been acclaimed by both analysts and customers. Furthermore, customer satisfaction is closely monitored on a global basis to identify trends and proactively address them.
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